Gameweek 8 brief final · generated 5:03pm UK time, Friday 23 October · model 1.0.0
Phillips out, Suzuki in and Semenyo out, Mbeumo in. Captain Haaland.
Phillips out, Suzuki in and Semenyo out, Mbeumo in. Then set Haaland as captain and Mbeumo as vice captain, and match the line up below.
Transfers
Reasoning: Phillips out, has not played a single minute this season, projects only 0.0 points over 5 weeks. Semenyo out, knee injury - unknown return date, projects only 10.2 points over 5 weeks. Suzuki (AVL, £5.0m) projects 22.0 points over the next 5 weeks; next: MCI (H), then FUL (H), then MUN (A); no rival owns him, so he gains ground on the league if he scores. Mbeumo (MUN, £7.9m) projects 26.2 points over the next 5 weeks; next: BOU (H), then CHE (A), then AVL (H); 3 of 12 rivals already own him
Team (4-4-2)
Alternatives considered
Phillips → Tzolakis, Semenyo → Mbeumo · score 18.58
Phillips out, has not played a single minute this season, projects only 0.0 points over 5 weeks. Semenyo out, knee injury - unknown return date, projects only 10.2 points over 5 weeks. Tzolakis (HUL, £4.7m) projects 21.9 points over the next 5 weeks; next: BRE (H), then IPS (H), then ARS (A); 1 of 12 rivals already own him. Mbeumo (MUN, £7.9m) projects 26.2 points over the next 5 weeks; next: BOU (H), then CHE (A), then AVL (H); 3 of 12 rivals already own him
Phillips → Suzuki, Cherki → Mbeumo · score 17.85
Phillips out, has not played a single minute this season, projects only 0.0 points over 5 weeks. Cherki out, projects only 16.9 points over 5 weeks. Suzuki (AVL, £5.0m) projects 22.0 points over the next 5 weeks; next: MCI (H), then FUL (H), then MUN (A); no rival owns him, so he gains ground on the league if he scores. Mbeumo (MUN, £7.9m) projects 26.2 points over the next 5 weeks; next: BOU (H), then CHE (A), then AVL (H); 3 of 12 rivals already own him
Do nothing (bank the transfer) · score 0.80
Make no transfer and carry 3 into next week as 4 (the cap is 5).
Phillips → Tzolakis, Cherki → Mbeumo · score 17.81
Phillips out, has not played a single minute this season, projects only 0.0 points over 5 weeks. Cherki out, projects only 16.9 points over 5 weeks. Tzolakis (HUL, £4.7m) projects 21.9 points over the next 5 weeks; next: BRE (H), then IPS (H), then ARS (A); 1 of 12 rivals already own him. Mbeumo (MUN, £7.9m) projects 26.2 points over the next 5 weeks; next: BOU (H), then CHE (A), then AVL (H); 3 of 12 rivals already own him
Semenyo → Mbeumo, McGinn → Tavernier · score 17.75
Semenyo out, knee injury - unknown return date, projects only 10.2 points over 5 weeks. McGinn out, projects only 15.9 points over 5 weeks. Mbeumo (MUN, £7.9m) projects 26.2 points over the next 5 weeks; next: BOU (H), then CHE (A), then AVL (H); 3 of 12 rivals already own him. Tavernier (BOU, £6.2m) projects 22.5 points over the next 5 weeks; next: MUN (A), then LEE (H), then IPS (A); no rival owns him, so he gains ground on the league if he scores
Semenyo → Tavernier, McGinn → Mbeumo · score 17.75
Semenyo out, knee injury - unknown return date, projects only 10.2 points over 5 weeks. McGinn out, projects only 15.9 points over 5 weeks. Tavernier (BOU, £6.2m) projects 22.5 points over the next 5 weeks; next: MUN (A), then LEE (H), then IPS (A); no rival owns him, so he gains ground on the league if he scores. Mbeumo (MUN, £7.9m) projects 26.2 points over the next 5 weeks; next: BOU (H), then CHE (A), then AVL (H); 3 of 12 rivals already own him
Scores are projected points gained over the next eight weeks (later weeks discounted), minus any hit, adjusted for risk and league context.
Why, confidence and risks
Ren is 9th of 13 in Velocita FC, 102 points behind Stranger Mings with 31 gameweeks left; the gap is now serious, so the plan deliberately favours differentials over safe picks. Phillips out, has not played a single minute this season, projects only 0.0 points over 5 weeks. Semenyo out, knee injury - unknown return date, projects only 10.2 points over 5 weeks. Suzuki (AVL, £5.0m) projects 22.0 points over the next 5 weeks; next: MCI (H), then FUL (H), then MUN (A); no rival owns him, so he gains ground on the league if he scores. Mbeumo (MUN, £7.9m) projects 26.2 points over the next 5 weeks; next: BOU (H), then CHE (A), then AVL (H); 3 of 12 rivals already own him. Haaland takes the armband for the best mix of expected points and goal threat this week (6.4 points expected, on penalties, AVL (A)). Hold all chips. No trigger this week: the bench is not strong enough for Bench Boost, no captain option is a standout for Triple Captain, and the squad does not need a rebuild.
High confidence (88%): data fresh, squad healthy, clear best option
How it turned out
The recommendation and Ren's actual team landed within a few points of each other.
| Player | Projected | Actual |
|---|---|---|
| De Cuyper | 3.5 | 1 |
| Dasilva | 4.4 | 2 |
| Hall | 4.6 | 5 |
| Rogers | 4.9 | 1 |
| Groß | 3.8 | 0 |
| João Pedro (did not play) | 4.4 | 0 |
| Haaland | 6.4 | 8 |
| Cherki | 3.3 | 0 |
| Thomas | 5.6 | 1 |
| Suzuki | 4.2 | 4 |
| Mbeumo | 5.6 | 2 |