Gameweek 9 brief early · generated 7:31pm UK time, Friday 23 October · model 1.0.0
Brobbey out, Barry in and Cherki out, Tavernier in. Captain Haaland.
Brobbey out, Barry in and Cherki out, Tavernier in. Then set Haaland as captain and Barry as vice captain, and match the line up below.
Transfers
Reasoning: Brobbey out, hamstring injury - 75% chance of playing, projects only 12.4 points over 5 weeks. Cherki out, projects only 17.2 points over 5 weeks. Barry (EVE, £5.7m) projects 22.6 points over the next 5 weeks; next: NEW (A), then COV (H), then BRE (A); no rival owns him, so he gains ground on the league if he scores. Tavernier (BOU, £6.2m) projects 23.4 points over the next 5 weeks; next: LEE (H), then IPS (A), then NFO (H); no rival owns him, so he gains ground on the league if he scores
Team (4-3-3)
Alternatives considered
Cherki → Tavernier, Dasilva → Silva · score 11.25
Cherki out, projects only 17.2 points over 5 weeks. Dasilva out, projects only 19.4 points over 5 weeks. Tavernier (BOU, £6.2m) projects 23.4 points over the next 5 weeks; next: LEE (H), then IPS (A), then NFO (H); no rival owns him, so he gains ground on the league if he scores. Silva (BOU, £5.0m) projects 23.9 points over the next 5 weeks; next: LEE (H), then IPS (A), then NFO (H); no rival owns him, so he gains ground on the league if he scores
McGinn → Tavernier, João Pedro → Barry · score 10.31
McGinn out, projects only 16.2 points over 5 weeks. João Pedro out, projects only 19.9 points over 5 weeks. Tavernier (BOU, £6.2m) projects 23.4 points over the next 5 weeks; next: LEE (H), then IPS (A), then NFO (H); no rival owns him, so he gains ground on the league if he scores. Barry (EVE, £5.7m) projects 22.6 points over the next 5 weeks; next: NEW (A), then COV (H), then BRE (A); no rival owns him, so he gains ground on the league if he scores
Do nothing (bank the transfer) · score 0.80
Make no transfer and carry 2 into next week as 3 (the cap is 5).
Cherki → Tavernier, João Pedro → Barry · score 10.17
Cherki out, projects only 17.2 points over 5 weeks. João Pedro out, projects only 19.9 points over 5 weeks. Tavernier (BOU, £6.2m) projects 23.4 points over the next 5 weeks; next: LEE (H), then IPS (A), then NFO (H); no rival owns him, so he gains ground on the league if he scores. Barry (EVE, £5.7m) projects 22.6 points over the next 5 weeks; next: NEW (A), then COV (H), then BRE (A); no rival owns him, so he gains ground on the league if he scores
Dasilva → Silva, João Pedro → Barry · score 9.97
Dasilva out, projects only 19.4 points over 5 weeks. João Pedro out, projects only 19.9 points over 5 weeks. Silva (BOU, £5.0m) projects 23.9 points over the next 5 weeks; next: LEE (H), then IPS (A), then NFO (H); no rival owns him, so he gains ground on the league if he scores. Barry (EVE, £5.7m) projects 22.6 points over the next 5 weeks; next: NEW (A), then COV (H), then BRE (A); no rival owns him, so he gains ground on the league if he scores
McGinn → Tavernier, Cherki → E.Le Fée · score 9.55
McGinn out, projects only 16.2 points over 5 weeks. Cherki out, projects only 17.2 points over 5 weeks. Tavernier (BOU, £6.2m) projects 23.4 points over the next 5 weeks; next: LEE (H), then IPS (A), then NFO (H); no rival owns him, so he gains ground on the league if he scores. E.Le Fée (SUN, £5.7m) projects 20.9 points over the next 5 weeks; next: COV (A), then CHE (H), then AVL (A); no rival owns him, so he gains ground on the league if he scores
Scores are projected points gained over the next eight weeks (later weeks discounted), minus any hit, adjusted for risk and league context.
Why, confidence and risks
Ren is 10th of 13 in Velocita FC, 103 points behind Stranger Mings with 30 gameweeks left; the gap is now serious, so the plan deliberately favours differentials over safe picks. Brobbey out, hamstring injury - 75% chance of playing, projects only 12.4 points over 5 weeks. Cherki out, projects only 17.2 points over 5 weeks. Barry (EVE, £5.7m) projects 22.6 points over the next 5 weeks; next: NEW (A), then COV (H), then BRE (A); no rival owns him, so he gains ground on the league if he scores. Tavernier (BOU, £6.2m) projects 23.4 points over the next 5 weeks; next: LEE (H), then IPS (A), then NFO (H); no rival owns him, so he gains ground on the league if he scores. Haaland takes the armband for the best mix of expected points and goal threat this week (7.0 points expected, on penalties, BHA (H)). Your bench projects 12.9 points this week and everyone looks likely to play. Worth considering Bench Boost, but it is your call; the system never plays chips for you.
High confidence (88%): data fresh, squad healthy, clear best option