Gameweek 9 brief provisional · generated 5:33pm UK time, Monday 26 October · model 1.0.0
Cherki out, Tavernier in and Dasilva out, Silva in. Captain Haaland.
Cherki out, Tavernier in and Dasilva out, Silva in. Then set Haaland as captain and Tavernier as vice captain, and match the line up below.
Transfers
Reasoning: Cherki out, projects only 15.7 points over 5 weeks. Dasilva out, projects only 19.1 points over 5 weeks. Tavernier is owned by 56% of the world's best managers (closing a template gap). Tavernier (BOU, £6.3m) projects 24.9 points over the next 5 weeks; next: LEE (H), then IPS (A), then NFO (H); no rival owns him, so he gains ground on the league if he scores. Silva (BOU, £5.0m) projects 23.8 points over the next 5 weeks; next: LEE (H), then IPS (A), then NFO (H); no rival owns him, so he gains ground on the league if he scores
Team (4-5-1)
Alternatives considered
Brobbey → Barry, Cherki → Tavernier · score 17.63
Brobbey out, projects only 11.9 points over 5 weeks. Cherki out, projects only 15.7 points over 5 weeks. Barry (EVE, £5.6m) projects 22.1 points over the next 5 weeks; next: NEW (A), then COV (H), then BRE (A); no rival owns him, so he gains ground on the league if he scores. Tavernier is owned by 56% of the world's best managers (closing a template gap). Tavernier (BOU, £6.3m) projects 24.9 points over the next 5 weeks; next: LEE (H), then IPS (A), then NFO (H); no rival owns him, so he gains ground on the league if he scores
João Pedro → Barry, McGinn → Tavernier · score 17.53
João Pedro out, unspecified injury - 75% chance of playing, projects only 15.2 points over 5 weeks. McGinn out, projects only 15.4 points over 5 weeks. Barry (EVE, £5.6m) projects 22.1 points over the next 5 weeks; next: NEW (A), then COV (H), then BRE (A); no rival owns him, so he gains ground on the league if he scores. Tavernier is owned by 56% of the world's best managers (closing a template gap). Tavernier (BOU, £6.3m) projects 24.9 points over the next 5 weeks; next: LEE (H), then IPS (A), then NFO (H); no rival owns him, so he gains ground on the league if he scores
Do nothing (bank the transfer) · score 0.80
Make no transfer and carry 2 into next week as 3 (the cap is 5).
João Pedro → Isak, Cherki → Tavernier · score 17.35
João Pedro out, unspecified injury - 75% chance of playing, projects only 15.2 points over 5 weeks. Cherki out, projects only 15.7 points over 5 weeks. Isak (LIV, £9.0m) projects 21.9 points over the next 5 weeks; next: ARS (H), then CRY (A), then MUN (H); 2 of 12 rivals already own him. Tavernier is owned by 56% of the world's best managers (closing a template gap). Tavernier (BOU, £6.3m) projects 24.9 points over the next 5 weeks; next: LEE (H), then IPS (A), then NFO (H); no rival owns him, so he gains ground on the league if he scores
João Pedro → Barry, Cherki → Tavernier · score 17.07
João Pedro out, unspecified injury - 75% chance of playing, projects only 15.2 points over 5 weeks. Cherki out, projects only 15.7 points over 5 weeks. Barry (EVE, £5.6m) projects 22.1 points over the next 5 weeks; next: NEW (A), then COV (H), then BRE (A); no rival owns him, so he gains ground on the league if he scores. Tavernier is owned by 56% of the world's best managers (closing a template gap). Tavernier (BOU, £6.3m) projects 24.9 points over the next 5 weeks; next: LEE (H), then IPS (A), then NFO (H); no rival owns him, so he gains ground on the league if he scores
McGinn → Tavernier, Cherki → Ødegaard · score 16.93
McGinn out, projects only 15.4 points over 5 weeks. Cherki out, projects only 15.7 points over 5 weeks. Tavernier is owned by 56% of the world's best managers (closing a template gap). Tavernier (BOU, £6.3m) projects 24.9 points over the next 5 weeks; next: LEE (H), then IPS (A), then NFO (H); no rival owns him, so he gains ground on the league if he scores. Ødegaard (ARS, £6.8m) projects 21.9 points over the next 5 weeks; next: LIV (A), then HUL (H), then NEW (A); 3 of 12 rivals already own him
Scores are projected points gained over the next eight weeks (later weeks discounted), minus any hit, adjusted for risk and league context.
Why, confidence and risks
Ren is 12th of 13 in Velocita FC, 110 points behind Stranger Mings with 30 gameweeks left; the gap is now serious, so the plan deliberately favours differentials over safe picks. Cherki out, projects only 15.7 points over 5 weeks. Dasilva out, projects only 19.1 points over 5 weeks. Tavernier is owned by 56% of the world's best managers (closing a template gap). Tavernier (BOU, £6.3m) projects 24.9 points over the next 5 weeks; next: LEE (H), then IPS (A), then NFO (H); no rival owns him, so he gains ground on the league if he scores. Silva (BOU, £5.0m) projects 23.8 points over the next 5 weeks; next: LEE (H), then IPS (A), then NFO (H); no rival owns him, so he gains ground on the league if he scores. Haaland takes the armband for the best mix of expected points and goal threat this week (6.9 points expected, on penalties, BHA (H)). Hold all chips. No trigger this week: the bench is not strong enough for Bench Boost, no captain option is a standout for Triple Captain, and the squad does not need a rebuild.
High confidence (80%): Thomas carrying a flag in the eleven