Gameweek 9 brief provisional · generated 11:08am UK time, Friday 30 October · model 1.0.0
Brobbey out, Barry in and Cherki out, Tavernier in. Captain Haaland.
Brobbey out, Barry in and Cherki out, Tavernier in. Then set Haaland as captain and Barry as vice captain, and match the line up below.
Transfers
Reasoning: Brobbey out, projects only 10.9 points over 5 weeks. Cherki out, projects only 15.7 points over 5 weeks. Barry (EVE, £5.6m) projects 22.1 points over the next 5 weeks; next: NEW (A), then COV (H), then BRE (A); no rival owns him, so he gains ground on the league if he scores. Tavernier is owned by 56% of the world's best managers (closing a template gap). Tavernier (BOU, £6.4m) projects 23.6 points over the next 5 weeks; next: LEE (H), then IPS (A), then NFO (H); no rival owns him, so he gains ground on the league if he scores
Team (3-5-2)
Alternatives considered
João Pedro → Barry, McGinn → Tavernier · score 16.78
João Pedro out, thigh injury - unknown return date, projects only 11.4 points over 5 weeks. McGinn out, projects only 15.4 points over 5 weeks. Barry (EVE, £5.6m) projects 22.1 points over the next 5 weeks; next: NEW (A), then COV (H), then BRE (A); no rival owns him, so he gains ground on the league if he scores. Tavernier is owned by 56% of the world's best managers (closing a template gap). Tavernier (BOU, £6.4m) projects 23.6 points over the next 5 weeks; next: LEE (H), then IPS (A), then NFO (H); no rival owns him, so he gains ground on the league if he scores
João Pedro → Isak, Cherki → Tavernier · score 16.69
João Pedro out, thigh injury - unknown return date, projects only 11.4 points over 5 weeks. Cherki out, projects only 15.7 points over 5 weeks. Isak (LIV, £9.1m) projects 22.0 points over the next 5 weeks; next: ARS (H), then CRY (A), then MUN (H); 2 of 12 rivals already own him. Tavernier is owned by 56% of the world's best managers (closing a template gap). Tavernier (BOU, £6.4m) projects 23.6 points over the next 5 weeks; next: LEE (H), then IPS (A), then NFO (H); no rival owns him, so he gains ground on the league if he scores
Do nothing (bank the transfer) · score 0.80
Make no transfer and carry 2 into next week as 3 (the cap is 5).
Cherki → Tavernier, Dasilva → Silva · score 16.41
Cherki out, projects only 15.7 points over 5 weeks. Dasilva out, projects only 19.1 points over 5 weeks. Tavernier is owned by 56% of the world's best managers (closing a template gap). Tavernier (BOU, £6.4m) projects 23.6 points over the next 5 weeks; next: LEE (H), then IPS (A), then NFO (H); no rival owns him, so he gains ground on the league if he scores. Silva (BOU, £5.0m) projects 23.8 points over the next 5 weeks; next: LEE (H), then IPS (A), then NFO (H); no rival owns him, so he gains ground on the league if he scores
João Pedro → Barry, Cherki → Tavernier · score 16.37
João Pedro out, thigh injury - unknown return date, projects only 11.4 points over 5 weeks. Cherki out, projects only 15.7 points over 5 weeks. Barry (EVE, £5.6m) projects 22.1 points over the next 5 weeks; next: NEW (A), then COV (H), then BRE (A); no rival owns him, so he gains ground on the league if he scores. Tavernier is owned by 56% of the world's best managers (closing a template gap). Tavernier (BOU, £6.4m) projects 23.6 points over the next 5 weeks; next: LEE (H), then IPS (A), then NFO (H); no rival owns him, so he gains ground on the league if he scores
McGinn → Tavernier, Cherki → Ødegaard · score 15.45
McGinn out, projects only 15.4 points over 5 weeks. Cherki out, projects only 15.7 points over 5 weeks. Tavernier is owned by 56% of the world's best managers (closing a template gap). Tavernier (BOU, £6.4m) projects 23.6 points over the next 5 weeks; next: LEE (H), then IPS (A), then NFO (H); no rival owns him, so he gains ground on the league if he scores. Ødegaard (ARS, £6.7m) projects 21.9 points over the next 5 weeks; next: LIV (A), then HUL (H), then NEW (A); 3 of 12 rivals already own him
Scores are projected points gained over the next eight weeks (later weeks discounted), minus any hit, adjusted for risk and league context.
Why, confidence and risks
Ren is 12th of 13 in Velocita FC, 110 points behind Stranger Mings with 30 gameweeks left; the gap is now serious, so the plan deliberately favours differentials over safe picks. Brobbey out, projects only 10.9 points over 5 weeks. Cherki out, projects only 15.7 points over 5 weeks. Barry (EVE, £5.6m) projects 22.1 points over the next 5 weeks; next: NEW (A), then COV (H), then BRE (A); no rival owns him, so he gains ground on the league if he scores. Tavernier is owned by 56% of the world's best managers (closing a template gap). Tavernier (BOU, £6.4m) projects 23.6 points over the next 5 weeks; next: LEE (H), then IPS (A), then NFO (H); no rival owns him, so he gains ground on the league if he scores. Haaland takes the armband for the best mix of expected points and goal threat this week (6.9 points expected, on penalties, BHA (H)). Hold all chips. No trigger this week: the bench is not strong enough for Bench Boost, no captain option is a standout for Triple Captain, and the squad does not need a rebuild.
High confidence (88%): data fresh, squad healthy, clear best option