Gameweek 9 brief final · generated 9:32am UK time, Saturday 31 October · model 1.0.0
João Pedro out, Barry in and McGinn out, Tavernier in. Captain Haaland.
João Pedro out, Barry in and McGinn out, Tavernier in. Then set Haaland as captain and Tavernier as vice captain, and match the line up below.
Transfers
Reasoning: João Pedro out, thigh injury - unknown return date, projects only 11.4 points over 5 weeks. McGinn out, projects only 15.4 points over 5 weeks. Barry (EVE, £5.6m) projects 22.1 points over the next 5 weeks; next: NEW (A), then COV (H), then BRE (A); no rival owns him, so he gains ground on the league if he scores. Tavernier is owned by 56% of the world's best managers (closing a template gap). Tavernier (BOU, £6.5m) projects 25.0 points over the next 5 weeks; next: LEE (H), then IPS (A), then NFO (H); no rival owns him, so he gains ground on the league if he scores
Team (3-5-2)
Alternatives considered
Brobbey → Barry, Cherki → Tavernier · score 18.22
Brobbey out, projects only 11.9 points over 5 weeks. Cherki out, projects only 15.7 points over 5 weeks. Barry (EVE, £5.6m) projects 22.1 points over the next 5 weeks; next: NEW (A), then COV (H), then BRE (A); no rival owns him, so he gains ground on the league if he scores. Tavernier is owned by 56% of the world's best managers (closing a template gap). Tavernier (BOU, £6.5m) projects 25.0 points over the next 5 weeks; next: LEE (H), then IPS (A), then NFO (H); no rival owns him, so he gains ground on the league if he scores
João Pedro → Isak, Cherki → Tavernier · score 18.15
João Pedro out, thigh injury - unknown return date, projects only 11.4 points over 5 weeks. Cherki out, projects only 15.7 points over 5 weeks. Isak (LIV, £9.1m) projects 22.0 points over the next 5 weeks; next: ARS (H), then CRY (A), then MUN (H); 2 of 12 rivals already own him. Tavernier is owned by 56% of the world's best managers (closing a template gap). Tavernier (BOU, £6.5m) projects 25.0 points over the next 5 weeks; next: LEE (H), then IPS (A), then NFO (H); no rival owns him, so he gains ground on the league if he scores
Do nothing (bank the transfer) · score 0.80
Make no transfer and carry 2 into next week as 3 (the cap is 5).
Cherki → Tavernier, Dasilva → Silva · score 18.01
Cherki out, projects only 15.7 points over 5 weeks. Dasilva out, projects only 19.1 points over 5 weeks. Tavernier is owned by 56% of the world's best managers (closing a template gap). Tavernier (BOU, £6.5m) projects 25.0 points over the next 5 weeks; next: LEE (H), then IPS (A), then NFO (H); no rival owns him, so he gains ground on the league if he scores. Silva (BOU, £5.0m) projects 23.8 points over the next 5 weeks; next: LEE (H), then IPS (A), then NFO (H); no rival owns him, so he gains ground on the league if he scores
João Pedro → Barry, Cherki → Tavernier · score 17.83
João Pedro out, thigh injury - unknown return date, projects only 11.4 points over 5 weeks. Cherki out, projects only 15.7 points over 5 weeks. Barry (EVE, £5.6m) projects 22.1 points over the next 5 weeks; next: NEW (A), then COV (H), then BRE (A); no rival owns him, so he gains ground on the league if he scores. Tavernier is owned by 56% of the world's best managers (closing a template gap). Tavernier (BOU, £6.5m) projects 25.0 points over the next 5 weeks; next: LEE (H), then IPS (A), then NFO (H); no rival owns him, so he gains ground on the league if he scores
McGinn → Tavernier, Cherki → Ødegaard · score 17.04
McGinn out, projects only 15.4 points over 5 weeks. Cherki out, projects only 15.7 points over 5 weeks. Tavernier is owned by 56% of the world's best managers (closing a template gap). Tavernier (BOU, £6.5m) projects 25.0 points over the next 5 weeks; next: LEE (H), then IPS (A), then NFO (H); no rival owns him, so he gains ground on the league if he scores. Ødegaard (ARS, £6.7m) projects 21.9 points over the next 5 weeks; next: LIV (A), then HUL (H), then NEW (A); 3 of 12 rivals already own him
Scores are projected points gained over the next eight weeks (later weeks discounted), minus any hit, adjusted for risk and league context.
Why, confidence and risks
Ren is 12th of 13 in Velocita FC, 110 points behind Stranger Mings with 30 gameweeks left; the gap is now serious, so the plan deliberately favours differentials over safe picks. João Pedro out, thigh injury - unknown return date, projects only 11.4 points over 5 weeks. McGinn out, projects only 15.4 points over 5 weeks. Barry (EVE, £5.6m) projects 22.1 points over the next 5 weeks; next: NEW (A), then COV (H), then BRE (A); no rival owns him, so he gains ground on the league if he scores. Tavernier is owned by 56% of the world's best managers (closing a template gap). Tavernier (BOU, £6.5m) projects 25.0 points over the next 5 weeks; next: LEE (H), then IPS (A), then NFO (H); no rival owns him, so he gains ground on the league if he scores. Haaland takes the armband for the best mix of expected points and goal threat this week (6.9 points expected, on penalties, BHA (H)). Hold all chips. No trigger this week: the bench is not strong enough for Bench Boost, no captain option is a standout for Triple Captain, and the squad does not need a rebuild.
High confidence (88%): data fresh, squad healthy, clear best option
How it turned out
The recommendation and Ren's actual team landed within a few points of each other.
| Player | Projected | Actual |
|---|---|---|
| Suzuki | 5.0 | 1 |
| Dasilva | 3.8 | 2 |
| Hall | 4.8 | 2 |
| Tarkowski | 4.1 | 6 |
| Mbeumo | 4.5 | 1 |
| Rogers | 3.9 | 9 |
| Groß | 3.4 | 2 |
| Cherki | 3.3 | 1 |
| Haaland | 6.9 | 2 |
| Barry | 4.3 | 9 |
| Tavernier | 5.1 | 3 |