Gameweek 10 brief early · generated 12:00pm UK time, Saturday 31 October · model 1.0.0
Dasilva out, Silva in. Captain Haaland.
Dasilva out, Silva in. Then set Haaland as captain and Barry as vice captain, and match the line up below.
Transfers
Reasoning: Dasilva out, projects only 17.9 points over 5 weeks. Silva (BOU, £5.0m) projects 24.4 points over the next 5 weeks; next: IPS (A), then NFO (H), then FUL (A); no rival owns him, so he gains ground on the league if he scores
Team (4-4-2)
Alternatives considered
Cherki → Ødegaard, Dasilva → Silva · score 4.71 · 4 pt hit
Cherki out, projects only 15.4 points over 5 weeks. Dasilva out, projects only 17.9 points over 5 weeks. Ødegaard (ARS, £6.7m) projects 22.3 points over the next 5 weeks; next: HUL (H), then NEW (A), then MCI (H); 3 of 12 rivals already own him. Silva (BOU, £5.0m) projects 24.4 points over the next 5 weeks; next: IPS (A), then NFO (H), then FUL (A); no rival owns him, so he gains ground on the league if he scores. costs a 4 point hit, only worth it if the gain holds up
Risks: takes a 4 point deduction this week
Cherki → Ødegaard · score 4.43
Cherki out, projects only 15.4 points over 5 weeks. Ødegaard (ARS, £6.7m) projects 22.3 points over the next 5 weeks; next: HUL (H), then NEW (A), then MCI (H); 3 of 12 rivals already own him
Do nothing (bank the transfer) · score 0.80
Make no transfer and carry 1 into next week as 2 (the cap is 5).
Thomas → Silva · score 4.23
Thomas out, calf injury - 50% chance of playing, projects only 19.0 points over 5 weeks. Silva (BOU, £5.0m) projects 24.4 points over the next 5 weeks; next: IPS (A), then NFO (H), then FUL (A); no rival owns him, so he gains ground on the league if he scores
Dasilva → Silva, Verbruggen → Trafford · score 4.08 · 4 pt hit
Dasilva out, projects only 17.9 points over 5 weeks. Verbruggen out, projects only 19.3 points over 5 weeks. Silva (BOU, £5.0m) projects 24.4 points over the next 5 weeks; next: IPS (A), then NFO (H), then FUL (A); no rival owns him, so he gains ground on the league if he scores. Trafford (LEE, £5.0m) projects 23.7 points over the next 5 weeks; next: TOT (H), then CHE (A), then COV (H); 1 of 12 rivals already own him. costs a 4 point hit, only worth it if the gain holds up
Risks: takes a 4 point deduction this week
Dasilva → Hill · score 4.07
Dasilva out, projects only 17.9 points over 5 weeks. Hill (BOU, £5.5m) projects 23.3 points over the next 5 weeks; next: IPS (A), then NFO (H), then FUL (A); no rival owns him, so he gains ground on the league if he scores
Scores are projected points gained over the next eight weeks (later weeks discounted), minus any hit, adjusted for risk and league context.
Why, confidence and risks
Ren is 12th of 13 in Velocita FC, 114 points behind Stranger Mings with 29 gameweeks left; the gap is now serious, so the plan deliberately favours differentials over safe picks. Dasilva out, projects only 17.9 points over 5 weeks. Silva (BOU, £5.0m) projects 24.4 points over the next 5 weeks; next: IPS (A), then NFO (H), then FUL (A); no rival owns him, so he gains ground on the league if he scores. Haaland takes the armband for the best mix of expected points and goal threat this week (6.3 points expected, on penalties, NFO (A)). Hold all chips. No trigger this week: the bench is not strong enough for Bench Boost, no captain option is a standout for Triple Captain, and the squad does not need a rebuild.
High confidence (88%): data fresh, squad healthy, clear best option