Gameweek 4 brief early · generated 9:29pm UK time, Friday 4 September · model 1.0.0
Gyökeres out, João Pedro in and Coyle out, Hall in. Captain B.Fernandes.
Gyökeres out, João Pedro in and Coyle out, Hall in. Then set B.Fernandes as captain and Isak as vice captain, and match the line up below.
Transfers
Reasoning: Gyökeres out, has not played a single minute this season, projects only 0.0 points over 5 weeks. Coyle out, unspecified injury - 75% chance of playing, projects only 7.8 points over 5 weeks. João Pedro (CHE, £7.7m) projects 27.7 points over the next 5 weeks; next: HUL (H), then BRE (A), then BOU (H); 7 of 11 rivals already own him. Hall (NEW, £5.1m) projects 27.4 points over the next 5 weeks; next: LEE (A), then HUL (H), then COV (A); 2 of 11 rivals already own him
Team (4-3-3)
Alternatives considered
Gyökeres → João Pedro, Ouattara → Hall · score 39.45
Gyökeres out, has not played a single minute this season, projects only 0.0 points over 5 weeks. Ouattara out, projects only 5.3 points over 5 weeks. João Pedro (CHE, £7.7m) projects 27.7 points over the next 5 weeks; next: HUL (H), then BRE (A), then BOU (H); 7 of 11 rivals already own him. Hall (NEW, £5.1m) projects 27.4 points over the next 5 weeks; next: LEE (A), then HUL (H), then COV (A); 2 of 11 rivals already own him
Gyökeres → João Pedro, Anderson → Mbeumo · score 38.78
Gyökeres out, has not played a single minute this season, projects only 0.0 points over 5 weeks. Anderson out, projects only 12.4 points over 5 weeks. João Pedro (CHE, £7.7m) projects 27.7 points over the next 5 weeks; next: HUL (H), then BRE (A), then BOU (H); 7 of 11 rivals already own him. Mbeumo (MUN, £8.0m) projects 28.5 points over the next 5 weeks; next: MCI (H), then FUL (A), then TOT (H); 2 of 11 rivals already own him
Do nothing (bank the transfer) · score 0.80
Make no transfer and carry 3 into next week as 4 (the cap is 5).
Coyle → Hall, Anderson → Mbeumo · score 37.92
Coyle out, unspecified injury - 75% chance of playing, projects only 7.8 points over 5 weeks. Anderson out, projects only 12.4 points over 5 weeks. Hall (NEW, £5.1m) projects 27.4 points over the next 5 weeks; next: LEE (A), then HUL (H), then COV (A); 2 of 11 rivals already own him. Mbeumo (MUN, £8.0m) projects 28.5 points over the next 5 weeks; next: MCI (H), then FUL (A), then TOT (H); 2 of 11 rivals already own him
Ouattara → Hall, Anderson → Mbeumo · score 37.91
Ouattara out, projects only 5.3 points over 5 weeks. Anderson out, projects only 12.4 points over 5 weeks. Hall (NEW, £5.1m) projects 27.4 points over the next 5 weeks; next: LEE (A), then HUL (H), then COV (A); 2 of 11 rivals already own him. Mbeumo (MUN, £8.0m) projects 28.5 points over the next 5 weeks; next: MCI (H), then FUL (A), then TOT (H); 2 of 11 rivals already own him
Gyökeres → João Pedro, Coyle → De Cuyper · score 37.44
Gyökeres out, has not played a single minute this season, projects only 0.0 points over 5 weeks. Coyle out, unspecified injury - 75% chance of playing, projects only 7.8 points over 5 weeks. João Pedro (CHE, £7.7m) projects 27.7 points over the next 5 weeks; next: HUL (H), then BRE (A), then BOU (H); 7 of 11 rivals already own him. De Cuyper (BHA, £4.7m) projects 25.4 points over the next 5 weeks; next: COV (A), then ARS (H), then SUN (A); 4 of 11 rivals already own him
Scores are projected points gained over the next eight weeks (later weeks discounted), minus any hit, adjusted for risk and league context.
Why, confidence and risks
Ren is 3rd of 12 in Velocita FC, 34 points behind Damo FC with 35 gameweeks left; the gap is real but not desperate, so the plan leans slightly towards picks the rivals do not own. Gyökeres out, has not played a single minute this season, projects only 0.0 points over 5 weeks. Coyle out, unspecified injury - 75% chance of playing, projects only 7.8 points over 5 weeks. João Pedro (CHE, £7.7m) projects 27.7 points over the next 5 weeks; next: HUL (H), then BRE (A), then BOU (H); 7 of 11 rivals already own him. Hall (NEW, £5.1m) projects 27.4 points over the next 5 weeks; next: LEE (A), then HUL (H), then COV (A); 2 of 11 rivals already own him. B.Fernandes is captain because he has the week's best projection (6.8 points expected, MCI (H)). Hold all chips. No trigger this week: the bench is not strong enough for Bench Boost, no captain option is a standout for Triple Captain, and the squad does not need a rebuild.
High confidence (82%): early season, small samples behind the numbers